Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.004079 0.004286 0.004499 0.004734 0.004986 0.005250 0.005546
2025-10-05 0.003736 0.004045 0.004375 0.004755 0.005184 0.005653 0.006209
2025-10-12 0.003548 0.003919 0.004327 0.004813 0.005378 0.006020 0.006810
2025-10-19 0.003355 0.003763 0.004222 0.004781 0.005449 0.006230 0.007222
2025-10-26 0.003201 0.003636 0.004136 0.004756 0.005516 0.006425 0.007615
2025-11-02 0.003063 0.003519 0.004050 0.004721 0.005559 0.006586 0.007965
2025-11-09 0.003003 0.003488 0.004062 0.004802 0.005743 0.006925 0.008555
2025-11-16 0.002893 0.003390 0.003985 0.004764 0.005773 0.007063 0.008885
2025-11-23 0.002807 0.003317 0.003936 0.004756 0.005837 0.007245 0.009280
2025-11-30 0.002701 0.003214 0.003843 0.004687 0.005814 0.007307 0.009507
2025-12-07 0.002610 0.003126 0.003764 0.004631 0.005804 0.007382 0.009753
2025-12-14 0.002545 0.003069 0.003724 0.004622 0.005856 0.007543 0.010129
2025-12-21 0.002427 0.002941 0.003587 0.004482 0.005722 0.007439 0.010109
2025-12-28 0.002382 0.002904 0.003569 0.004500 0.005808 0.007651 0.010578
2026-01-04 0.002353 0.002889 0.003578 0.004553 0.005945 0.007940 0.011184
2026-01-11 0.002294 0.002832 0.003528 0.004523 0.005961 0.008051 0.011511
2026-01-18 0.002241 0.002781 0.003485 0.004501 0.005985 0.008173 0.011863
2026-01-25 0.002188 0.002727 0.003436 0.004468 0.005992 0.008268 0.012175
2026-02-01 0.002175 0.002728 0.003462 0.004543 0.006160 0.008619 0.012942
2026-02-08 0.002125 0.002677 0.003414 0.004508 0.006161 0.008707 0.013258
2026-02-15 0.002087 0.002642 0.003386 0.004501 0.006204 0.008862 0.013701
2026-02-22 0.002032 0.002581 0.003321 0.004437 0.006155 0.008865 0.013870
2026-03-01 0.001983 0.002527 0.003266 0.004384 0.006123 0.008893 0.014084